Friday, June 02, 2017

The Return Of Two Party Politics?


Things may be different in Scotland but in the rest of the UK the latest polls show a remarkable return to two party politics.

In 2015 the two main parties got 67% of the vote. In the latest Ipsos-Mori poll the two main parties have 85% (Conservatives 45%, Labour 40%).

The squeeze on the Lib Dem and UKIP vote has been marked. In 2010 the Lib Dems got over 22% of the vote. Today the latest poll has them at 7%. In 2015 UKIP got 12.6% of the vote, their current polling is down at 4%.

This is almost the exact opposite of what we saw in France where the two main parties failed to even make the second round of the presidential elections. George Eaton in the New Statesman argues that the dream of a new centrist party such as En Marche in France, is a pipe dream in the UK. We appear, if the polls are right, to have returned to two party politics at the present time.