Wednesday, May 10, 2017

Electoral Calculus Increase Conservative Majority Projection To 190

Based on opinion polls up until 9th May, Electoral Calculus are now projecting an increased Conservative majority. Interestingly they actually have the Liberals losing seats and the Greens losing Brighton.

I am less sure of the Brighton projection as Labour appear to have put up a paper candidate and are focusing on campaigning in Hove and Brighton Kemptown instead. Below is the current projection but I personally anticipate a swing from Labour to Greens that will enable Caroline Lucas to retain the seat.

Note: The Lib Dems are showing zero as they are not standing in this seat.